2020 MID-SEASON EXPECTED WINS
Thanks to Casey Hoch of the Fremont Cannons for putting this together.
Team | Wins | Losses | Runs For | R Allowed | Exp W % | Exp Win | Exp Loss | Difference | exp |
DAL | 56 | 28 | 361 | 323 | .541 | 45 | 39 | 11 | 1.474 |
MCM | 44 | 40 | 388 | 356 | .532 | 45 | 39 | -1 | 1.474 |
FRE | 43 | 41 | 455 | 389 | .558 | 47 | 37 | -4 | 1.474 |
MAN | 38 | 45 | 348 | 388 | .460 | 38 | 45 | 0 | 1.474 |
SWD | 28 | 55 | 286 | 465 | .328 | 27 | 56 | 1 | 1.474 |
Team | Wins | Losses | Runs For | R Allowed | Exp W % | Exp Win | Exp Loss | Difference | exp |
CHI | 51 | 33 | 470 | 346 | .611 | 51 | 33 | 0 | 1.474 |
DET | 44 | 40 | 410 | 333 | .576 | 48 | 36 | -4 | 1.474 |
YSS | 42 | 42 | 424 | 426 | .498 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 1.474 |
TIJ | 20 | 64 | 286 | 541 | .281 | 24 | 60 | -4 | 1.474 |
Team | Wins | Losses | Runs For | R Allowed | Exp W % | Exp Win | Exp Loss | Difference | exp |
SBL | 58 | 26 | 458 | 361 | .587 | 49 | 35 | 9 | 1.474 |
HOL | 53 | 31 | 473 | 350 | .609 | 51 | 33 | 2 | 1.474 |
VIR | 47 | 37 | 537 | 432 | .580 | 49 | 35 | -2 | 1.474 |
MSS | 40 | 44 | 472 | 470 | .502 | 42 | 42 | -2 | 1.474 |
CCC | 23 | 61 | 294 | 482 | .325 | 27 | 57 | -4 | 1.474 |
Team | Wins | Losses | Runs For | R Allowed | Exp W % | Exp Win | Exp Loss | Difference | exp |
PIT | 54 | 30 | 455 | 310 | .671 | 56 | 28 | -2 | 1.853 |
BET | 36 | 48 | 344 | 379 | .455 | 38 | 46 | -2 | 1.853 |
CRK | 34 | 50 | 321 | 437 | .361 | 30 | 54 | 4 | 1.853 |
HIW | 33 | 51 | 298 | 365 | .407 | 34 | 50 | -1 | 1.853 |
JNE | 32 | 52 | 318 | 358 | .445 | 37 | 47 | -5 | 1.853 |
Team | Wins | Losses | Runs For | R Allowed | Exp W % | Exp Win | Exp Loss | Difference | exp |
COL | 63 | 21 | 432 | 308 | .652 | 55 | 29 | 8 | 1.853 |
TEM | 47 | 37 | 416 | 336 | .598 | 50 | 34 | -3 | 1.853 |
SEL | 45 | 39 | 405 | 383 | .526 | 44 | 40 | 1 | 1.853 |
VAL | 38 | 46 | 383 | 375 | .510 | 43 | 41 | -5 | 1.853 |
Team | Wins | Losses | Runs For | R Allowed | Exp W % | Exp Win | Exp Loss | Difference | exp |
SAC | 54 | 30 | 384 | 289 | .629 | 53 | 31 | 1 | 1.853 |
TCP | 48 | 36 | 377 | 328 | .564 | 47 | 37 | 1 | 1.853 |
LBD | 43 | 41 | 334 | 309 | .536 | 45 | 39 | -2 | 1.853 |
POR | 33 | 51 | 304 | 388 | .389 | 33 | 51 | 0 | 1.853 |
RRG | 28 | 56 | 295 | 501 | .273 | 23 | 61 | 5 | 1.853 |
These were calculated using the Pythagorean/Pythagenport Expected Wins Calculation. | |||||||||
Expected Winning Percentage= (Runs Scored^exp)/((Runs Scored^exp)+(Runs Allowed^exp)), | |||||||||
where the exponent (exp) is 0.45+1.5*log(League-Wide Runs Per Game). | |||||||||
The AL scored ~11% more runs than the NL. | |||||||||
Total Runs | 10728 | ||||||||
AL Runs | 5662 | ||||||||
NL Runs | 5066 |